Cigars in the Sand

Commentary, Notes and Pictures from my time in Iraq

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Location: Baghdad, Iraq

Farmer by genetics, Lawyer by training, currently "vacationing" in Iraq and advising the Iraqi government on border security issues. Before moving to Baghdad, I served in the White House as Deputy Counsel for the Homeland Security Council. I can be reached at opusxryanathotmaildotcom.

Sunday, February 13, 2005

Sistani's List

The key number to look for will be what percentage Sistani's list pulls. If he pulls over 50%, look to see a Shia-dominated transnational assembly. If that list wins only a plurality, I think there is a fair chance that Allawi will retain the PM spot because I expect the Kurds to join with Allawi to prevent a Shia-dominated government. Just my guess here on the ground.